Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 214.878675 251.259358 293.637835 347.076586 413.267164 493.357469 5.988219e+02
2025-07-27 166.341164 210.981367 268.729769 350.490835 465.919652 627.294478 8.779554e+02
2025-08-03 141.199656 189.360746 256.403778 359.669567 520.698578 773.335779 1.224696e+03
2025-08-10 122.027305 170.597570 242.068990 359.630802 558.251068 901.503895 1.595379e+03
2025-08-17 109.027039 157.851171 233.174098 364.379630 602.581906 1052.931532 2.079601e+03
2025-08-24 97.793776 145.731381 222.656719 363.344944 635.288013 1192.698175 2.615539e+03
2025-08-31 88.886255 135.857439 213.909493 363.076731 668.581292 1344.741157 3.275392e+03
2025-09-07 82.667818 129.451514 209.852515 370.278709 718.437893 1552.420762 4.239087e+03
2025-09-14 74.123475 118.028666 195.268189 354.141932 713.572376 1626.168110 4.850858e+03
2025-09-21 68.907511 111.776068 189.185464 353.969335 745.002170 1808.131143 6.013706e+03
2025-09-28 64.745287 106.913202 185.004598 356.930539 784.816656 2032.486716 7.601067e+03
2025-10-05 63.457533 107.111992 190.528248 382.122675 889.026300 2510.422857 1.107384e+04
2025-10-12 61.924933 107.103635 196.513960 412.029086 1024.404594 3215.573020 1.762321e+04
2025-10-19 58.073498 102.254720 191.989000 416.274786 1089.537078 3724.019355 2.463924e+04
2025-10-26 55.219864 99.027467 190.415650 427.668160 1182.852083 4444.930326 3.686251e+04
2025-11-02 51.838423 94.342847 184.953382 427.620101 1238.844361 5055.664415 5.185191e+04
2025-11-09 49.214924 90.934391 181.884825 433.520554 1319.841854 5901.461165 7.811134e+04
2025-11-16 46.405903 86.841590 176.676174 432.234583 1374.218429 6673.124096 1.135199e+05
2025-11-23 43.927625 83.213042 172.098181 431.901265 1433.614408 7576.758324 1.707541e+05
2025-11-30 42.174867 80.991130 170.634891 440.856188 1538.455238 9003.213549 2.956288e+05
2025-12-07 39.102801 75.575827 160.628651 420.805574 1504.560944 9264.136544 3.737987e+05
2025-12-14 37.265359 72.780771 156.920384 420.591387 1565.878153 10517.480001 6.243615e+05
2025-12-21 35.753729 70.592811 154.507650 424.266952 1649.881123 12208.230143 1.184555e+06